Ole Miss
W-L: (35-26) PR = 95.2993Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 205 A Cal State Fullerton BW (10-11, 94.8) 4- 5 205 A Cal State Fullerton BW (10-11, 94.8) 11- 9 206 A Cal State Northridge BW ( 3- 6, 88.7) 13- 1 206 A Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 2- 3 207 A Cal State Northridge BW ( 3- 6, 88.7) 10- 1 212 H McNeese SL (18-11, 92.8) 11-12 212 A McNeese SL (18-11, 92.8) 8- 3 213 H Texas A&M-Corpus Chris SL ( 2-18, 87.6) 8- 0 213 A Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 5- 2 214 A Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 5- 8 216 H Miami (OH) MA ( 7- 7, 94.1) 4- 3 220 A Mercer SO ( 3-11, 86.0) 13- 0 221 H Southern Illinois MV ( 3- 7, 89.1) 1- 0 221 H Missouri State CUSA (20-30, 90.8) 2- 0 222 H Mercer SO ( 3-11, 86.0) 16- 1 222 H Florida State ACC (52-10, 97.5) 2- 9 225 H Central Arkansas ASUN ( 7- 9, 92.2) 10- 2 227 H Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 8- 0 228 H Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 4- 1 228 H UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 7- 1 301 H UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 5- 1 301 H UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 5- 1 303 H UT Martin OV ( 0- 8, 87.4) 10- 0 303 H UT Martin OV ( 0- 8, 87.4) 12- 4 306 H Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 3- 5 306 H Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 2-13 308 H Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 1- 2 310 A North Alabama ASUN ( 2- 5, 90.4) 4- 2 313 A Texas SEC (52-13, 99.0) 1- 3 314 A Texas SEC (52-13, 99.0) 2-11 315 A Texas SEC (52-13, 99.0) 3-15 318 H Louisiana Tech CUSA (28-24, 92.8) 5- 1 321 H Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 0-10 322 H Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 2-14 323 H Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 2- 5 325 H UAB AC (21-32, 91.5) 11- 0 327 H North Carolina ACC (31-19, 93.8) 2- 2 328 H Virginia ACC (40-18, 94.5) 2- 8 329 A Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 3- 4 331 A Memphis AC (17-38, 89.5) 10- 0 401 A Central Arkansas ASUN ( 7- 9, 92.2) 5- 0 407 H Samford SO ( 3-18, 90.4) 6- 2 410 H Texas A&M SEC (38-19, 96.8) 6-10 411 H Texas A&M SEC (38-19, 96.8) 5- 7 412 H Texas A&M SEC (38-19, 96.8) 9-10 414 H North Alabama ASUN ( 2- 5, 90.4) 7- 3 417 A LSU SEC (37-21, 97.0) 4- 6 418 A LSU SEC (37-21, 97.0) 6- 7 419 A LSU SEC (37-21, 97.0) 5- 8 421 H Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 12- 5 424 A Auburn SEC (29-27, 94.8) 6- 2 425 H Georgia Southern SB (19-31, 90.6) 13- 3 426 H Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 3- 3 430 A Utah State MW (22-32, 89.4) 0- 6 501 H Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 3- 2 502 H Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 3- 0 505 A South Carolina SEC (32-30, 95.0) 2- 0 506 A Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 4- 1 507 A Texas SEC (52-13, 99.0) 0- 6 515 H Boston University PAT ( 7-10, 94.0) 8- 6 516 A Boston University PAT ( 7-10, 94.0) 9- 4 516 A Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 9-10 517 H Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 2-14
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
205 A Cal State Fullerton 4- 5 -1 0 -0.73
205 A Cal State Fullerton 11- 9 2 0 + 2.27
206 A Cal State Northridge 13- 1 12 6 +++ 6.18
206 A Boise State 2- 3 -1 2 - -3.12
207 A Cal State Northridge 10- 1 9 6 + 3.18
212 H McNeese 11-12 -1 3 -- -4.23
212 A McNeese 8- 3 5 2 + 3.26
213 H Texas A&M-Corpus Chris 8- 0 8 8 -0.48
213 A Louisiana 5- 2 3 1 1.66
214 A Louisiana 5- 8 -3 1 -- -4.34
216 H Miami (OH) 4- 3 1 2 -0.99
220 A Mercer 13- 0 13 9 ++ 4.49
221 H Missouri State 2- 0 2 5 - -3.24
222 H Mercer 16- 1 15 10 ++ 4.01
222 H Florida State 2- 9 -7 -1 -- -5.57
225 H Central Arkansas 10- 2 8 4 ++ 4.14
227 H Jacksonville State 8- 0 8 1 +++ 6.73
228 H Jacksonville State 4- 1 3 1 1.73
228 H UL Monroe 7- 1 6 3 + 2.60
301 H UL Monroe 5- 1 4 3 0.60
301 H UL Monroe 5- 1 4 3 0.60
303 H UT Martin 10- 0 10 9 1.36
303 H UT Martin 12- 4 8 9 -0.64
306 H Alabama 3- 5 -2 -3 1.09
306 H Alabama 2-13 -11 -3 --- -7.91
308 H Alabama 1- 2 -1 -3 + 2.09
310 A North Alabama 4- 2 2 4 - -2.19
313 A Texas 1- 3 -2 -4 + 2.40
314 A Texas 2-11 -9 -4 -- -4.60
315 A Texas 3-15 -12 -4 --- -7.60
318 H Louisiana Tech 5- 1 4 3 0.75
321 H Oklahoma 0-10 -10 -4 --- -6.14
322 H Oklahoma 2-14 -12 -4 --- -8.14
323 H Oklahoma 2- 5 -3 -4 0.86
325 H UAB 11- 0 11 5 +++ 6.43
327 H North Carolina 2- 2 0 2 - -2.25
328 H Virginia 2- 8 -6 2 --- -7.55
329 A Tennessee 3- 4 -1 -2 1.36
331 A Memphis 10- 0 10 5 ++ 4.90
401 A Central Arkansas 5- 0 5 2 + 2.62
407 H Samford 6- 2 4 6 -1.66
410 H Texas A&M 6-10 -4 -1 - -3.26
411 H Texas A&M 5- 7 -2 -1 -1.26
412 H Texas A&M 9-10 -1 -1 -0.26
414 H North Alabama 7- 3 4 6 -1.67
417 A LSU 4- 6 -2 -2 0.47
418 A LSU 6- 7 -1 -2 1.47
419 A LSU 5- 8 -3 -2 -0.53
421 H Southern Miss 12- 5 7 4 + 2.62
424 A Auburn 6- 2 4 0 ++ 4.19
425 H Georgia Southern 13- 3 10 5 ++ 4.60
426 H Mississippi State 3- 3 0 0 0.49
430 A Utah State 0- 6 -6 5 --- -11.16
501 H Mississippi State 3- 2 1 0 1.49
502 H Mississippi State 3- 0 3 0 + 3.49
505 A South Carolina 2- 0 2 0 + 2.41
506 A Tennessee 4- 1 3 -2 ++ 5.36
507 A Texas 0- 6 -6 -4 -1.60
515 H Boston University 8- 6 2 2 -0.04
516 A Boston University 9- 4 5 1 ++ 4.44
516 A Texas Tech 9-10 -1 -5 + 3.68
517 H Texas Tech 2-14 -12 -3 --- -8.80
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 H Alabama 2-13 -11 -3 --- -7.91 315 A Texas 3-15 -12 -4 --- -7.60 321 H Oklahoma 0-10 -10 -4 --- -6.14 322 H Oklahoma 2-14 -12 -4 --- -8.14 328 H Virginia 2- 8 -6 2 --- -7.55 430 A Utah State 0- 6 -6 5 --- -11.16 517 H Texas Tech 2-14 -12 -3 --- -8.80 212 H McNeese 11-12 -1 3 -- -4.23 214 A Louisiana 5- 8 -3 1 -- -4.34 222 H Florida State 2- 9 -7 -1 -- -5.57 314 A Texas 2-11 -9 -4 -- -4.60 206 A Boise State 2- 3 -1 2 - -3.12 221 H Missouri State 2- 0 2 5 - -3.24 310 A North Alabama 4- 2 2 4 - -2.19 327 H North Carolina 2- 2 0 2 - -2.25 410 H Texas A&M 6-10 -4 -1 - -3.26 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 A Cal State Northridge 13- 1 12 6 +++ 6.18 227 H Jacksonville State 8- 0 8 1 +++ 6.73 325 H UAB 11- 0 11 5 +++ 6.43 220 A Mercer 13- 0 13 9 ++ 4.49 222 H Mercer 16- 1 15 10 ++ 4.01 225 H Central Arkansas 10- 2 8 4 ++ 4.14 331 A Memphis 10- 0 10 5 ++ 4.90 424 A Auburn 6- 2 4 0 ++ 4.19 425 H Georgia Southern 13- 3 10 5 ++ 4.60 506 A Tennessee 4- 1 3 -2 ++ 5.36 516 A Boston University 9- 4 5 1 ++ 4.44 205 A Cal State Fullerton 11- 9 2 0 + 2.27 207 A Cal State Northridge 10- 1 9 6 + 3.18 212 A McNeese 8- 3 5 2 + 3.26 228 H UL Monroe 7- 1 6 3 + 2.60 308 H Alabama 1- 2 -1 -3 + 2.09 313 A Texas 1- 3 -2 -4 + 2.40 401 A Central Arkansas 5- 0 5 2 + 2.62 421 H Southern Miss 12- 5 7 4 + 2.62 502 H Mississippi State 3- 0 3 0 + 3.49 505 A South Carolina 2- 0 2 0 + 2.41 516 A Texas Tech 9-10 -1 -5 + 3.68 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Cal State Full (10-11, 94.8) 4- 5 -5.08 14.29 0.74 0.40 -0.87
3 A Cal State Full (10-11, 94.8) 11- 9 -5.08 14.29 0.74 0.40 12.03
3 A Cal State Nort ( 3- 6, 88.7) 13- 1 -11.17 8.20 0.74 0.40 7.16
3 A Boise State (26-30, 92.4) 2- 3 -7.47 11.90 0.74 0.40 -1.35
3 A Cal State Nort ( 3- 6, 88.7) 10- 1 -11.17 8.20 0.74 0.40 7.16
3 H McNeese (18-11, 92.8) 11-12 -7.09 12.28 -0.74 0.40 -1.57
3 A McNeese (18-11, 92.8) 8- 3 -7.09 12.28 0.74 0.40 10.42
3 H Texas A&M-Corp ( 2-18, 87.6) 8- 0 -12.34 7.03 -0.74 0.40 5.03
3 A Louisiana (28-28, 93.2) 5- 2 -6.68 12.69 0.74 0.40 10.74
3 A Louisiana (28-28, 93.2) 5- 8 -6.68 12.69 0.74 0.40 -1.19
3 H Miami (OH) ( 7- 7, 94.1) 4- 3 -5.85 13.52 -0.74 0.40 10.23
3 A Mercer ( 3-11, 86.0) 13- 0 -13.85 5.52 0.74 0.40 5.01
3 H Southern Illin ( 3- 7, 89.1) 1- 0 -10.83 8.54 -0.74 0.40 6.24
3 H Missouri State (20-30, 90.8) 2- 0 -9.10 10.27 -0.74 0.40 7.62
3 H Mercer ( 3-11, 86.0) 16- 1 -13.85 5.52 -0.74 0.40 3.82
3 H Florida State (52-10, 97.5) 2- 9 -2.42 16.95 -0.74 0.40 -0.63
3 H Central Arkans ( 7- 9, 92.2) 10- 2 -7.72 11.65 -0.74 0.40 8.73
3 H Jacksonville S (42-14, 94.8) 8- 0 -5.13 14.24 -0.74 0.40 10.80
3 H Jacksonville S (42-14, 94.8) 4- 1 -5.13 14.24 -0.74 0.40 10.80
3 H UL Monroe (36-21, 92.6) 7- 1 -7.26 12.11 -0.74 0.40 9.10
3 H UL Monroe (36-21, 92.6) 5- 1 -7.26 12.11 -0.74 0.40 9.10
3 H UL Monroe (36-21, 92.6) 5- 1 -7.26 12.11 -0.74 0.40 9.10
3 H UT Martin ( 0- 8, 87.4) 10- 0 -12.50 6.87 -0.74 0.40 4.90
3 H UT Martin ( 0- 8, 87.4) 12- 4 -12.50 6.87 -0.74 0.40 4.90
3 H Alabama (58- 8, 99.1) 3- 5 -0.76 18.61 -0.74 0.40 -0.30
3 H Alabama (58- 8, 99.1) 2-13 -0.76 18.61 -0.74 0.40 -0.30
3 H Alabama (58- 8, 99.1) 1- 2 -0.76 18.61 -0.74 0.40 -0.30
3 A North Alabama ( 2- 5, 90.4) 4- 2 -9.53 9.84 0.74 0.40 8.47
3 A Texas (52-13, 99.0) 1- 3 -0.94 18.43 0.74 0.40 -0.04
3 A Texas (52-13, 99.0) 2-11 -0.94 18.43 0.74 0.40 -0.04
3 A Texas (52-13, 99.0) 3-15 -0.94 18.43 0.74 0.40 -0.04
3 H Louisiana Tech (28-24, 92.8) 5- 1 -7.11 12.26 -0.74 0.40 9.21
3 H Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 0-10 -0.00 19.37 -0.74 0.40 -0.15
3 H Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 2-14 -0.00 19.37 -0.74 0.40 -0.15
3 H Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 2- 5 -0.00 19.37 -0.74 0.40 -0.15
3 H UAB (21-32, 91.5) 11- 0 -8.43 10.94 -0.74 0.40 8.16
3 H North Carolina (31-19, 93.8) 2- 2 -6.11 13.26 -0.74 0.40 0.00
3 H Virginia (40-18, 94.5) 2- 8 -5.41 13.96 -0.74 0.40 -1.23
3 A Tennessee (45-15, 96.9) 3- 4 -2.99 16.38 0.74 0.40 -0.45
3 A Memphis (17-38, 89.5) 10- 0 -10.44 8.93 0.74 0.40 7.74
3 A Central Arkans ( 7- 9, 92.2) 5- 0 -7.72 11.65 0.74 0.40 9.91
3 H Samford ( 3-18, 90.4) 6- 2 -9.52 9.85 -0.74 0.40 7.29
3 H Texas A&M (38-19, 96.8) 6-10 -3.12 16.25 -0.74 0.40 -0.77
3 H Texas A&M (38-19, 96.8) 5- 7 -3.12 16.25 -0.74 0.40 -0.77
3 H Texas A&M (38-19, 96.8) 9-10 -3.12 16.25 -0.74 0.40 -0.77
3 H North Alabama ( 2- 5, 90.4) 7- 3 -9.53 9.84 -0.74 0.40 7.28
3 A LSU (37-21, 97.0) 4- 6 -2.88 16.49 0.74 0.40 -0.43
3 A LSU (37-21, 97.0) 6- 7 -2.88 16.49 0.74 0.40 -0.43
3 A LSU (37-21, 97.0) 5- 8 -2.88 16.49 0.74 0.40 -0.43
3 H Southern Miss (35-23, 91.7) 12- 5 -8.24 11.13 -0.74 0.40 8.31
3 A Auburn (29-27, 94.8) 6- 2 -5.15 14.22 0.74 0.40 11.97
3 H Georgia Southe (19-31, 90.6) 13- 3 -9.26 10.11 -0.74 0.40 7.50
3 H Mississippi St (43-20, 96.5) 3- 3 -3.37 16.00 -0.74 0.40 0.00
3 A Utah State (22-32, 89.4) 0- 6 -10.50 8.87 0.74 0.40 -1.95
3 H Mississippi St (43-20, 96.5) 3- 2 -3.37 16.00 -0.74 0.40 12.21
3 H Mississippi St (43-20, 96.5) 3- 0 -3.37 16.00 -0.74 0.40 12.21
3 A South Carolina (32-30, 95.0) 2- 0 -4.93 14.44 0.74 0.40 12.15
3 A Tennessee (45-15, 96.9) 4- 1 -2.99 16.38 0.74 0.40 13.70
3 A Texas (52-13, 99.0) 0- 6 -0.94 18.43 0.74 0.40 -0.04
3 H Boston Univers ( 7-10, 94.0) 8- 6 -5.90 13.47 -0.74 0.40 10.18
3 A Boston Univers ( 7-10, 94.0) 9- 4 -5.90 13.47 0.74 0.40 11.37
3 A Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 9-10 -0.66 18.71 0.74 0.40 -0.02
3 H Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 2-14 -0.66 18.71 -0.74 0.40 -0.28
------
295.90
|
winning pts = 310.5369 losing points = -14.6355
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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